DS 2500

Problem - Relationship between economic freedom and growth¶

A common problem for policymakers and government officials is determining the best course of action to take to improve the material well-being of their citizens. To simplify some macroeconomic theory, there's a dilemma for many decision makers. Do you intervene in the economy and risk slowing growth, or leave the problem alone and risk it never being solved? There are tons of unknown effects of any change in policy, so decision makers must have an idea of the baseline before any intervention. The intervention, and restriction of economic freedom, must produce better outcomes than there otherwise would be. Analyzing how reductions in economic freedom, through culture, institutions, or other factors affect economic growth and prosperity, will be important in recommending the best solutions. A better understanding of the relationship between economic freedom and growth will help leaders make the best decisions possible with the information possible, guaranteeing optimal outcomes for the greatest number of people.

Motivating Sources and Links¶

https://fee.org/articles/economic-freedom-and-economic-growth/

Gwartney, J. D., Lawson, R. A., & Holcombe, R. G. (1999). Economic Freedom and the Environment for Economic Growth. Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics (JITE) / Zeitschrift Für Die Gesamte Staatswissenschaft, 155(4), 643–663. http://www.jstor.org/stable/40752161

In [9]:
import pandas as pd
df_econ = pd.read_csv('economic_freedom_index2019_data.csv')
In [10]:
df_econ.head()
Out[10]:
CountryID Country Name WEBNAME Region World Rank Region Rank 2019 Score Property Rights Judical Effectiveness Government Integrity ... Country Population (Millions) GDP (Billions, PPP) GDP Growth Rate (%) 5 Year GDP Growth Rate (%) GDP per Capita (PPP) Unemployment (%) Inflation (%) FDI Inflow (Millions) Public Debt (% of GDP)
0 1 Afghanistan Afghanistan Asia-Pacific 152.0 39.0 51.5 19.6 29.6 25.2 ... Afghanistan 35.5 $69.60 2.5 2.9 $1,958.00 8.8 5.0 53.9 7.3
1 2 Albania Albania Europe 52.0 27.0 66.5 54.8 30.6 40.4 ... Albania 2.9 $36.00 3.9 2.5 $12,507.00 13.9 2.0 1,119.1 71.2
2 3 Algeria Algeria Middle East and North Africa 171.0 14.0 46.2 31.6 36.2 28.9 ... Algeria 41.5 $632.90 2.0 3.1 $15,237.00 10.0 5.6 1,203.0 25.8
3 4 Angola Angola Sub-Saharan Africa 156.0 33.0 50.6 35.9 26.6 20.5 ... Angola 28.2 $190.30 0.7 2.9 $6,753.00 8.2 31.7 -2,254.5 65.3
4 5 Argentina Argentina Americas 148.0 26.0 52.2 47.8 44.5 33.5 ... Argentina 44.1 $920.20 2.9 0.7 $20,876.00 8.7 25.7 11,857.0 52.6

5 rows × 34 columns

Why is this data sufficient to solve the problem?¶

This data shows the economic growth statistics compared to their general measures of economic freedom. The data is consistent and thorough, categorically analyzing the aspects and sources of freedom, as well as providing in depth economic data on each country. Little is left to interpretation as almost all of the institutions and their contribution to economic freedom are analyzed. The methodology used to collect the data is transparent and the Economic Freedom Index is generally fairly well-respected. There are also over two decades of data collection, so trends over time can be observed if the need is there.

Potential drawbacks from the data¶

There are definitely some potential problems with this data. The scores are subjective. This is based on the analysis of a think tank that could have its own agenda, so there might be a narrative implicit within the data that the analysts put forward. Also, the relatively small number of countries, 186, might prove insufficient for thorough analysis. This could be remedied by using data from past years from the archive of this think tank, in order to analyze how changing policy and institutions affect these development scores.

Data Dictionary¶

Data Item Data Type Description
CountryID int The index of the country
Country Name string The name of the country
WEBNAME string The formatted name of the country
Region string The region of the country
World Rank int The ranking of a country's economic freedom worldwide
Region Rank int The ranking of a country's economic freedom regionally
2019 Score float A country's economic freedom score in 2019
Property Rights float A 0-100 measure of how secure property rights are
Judicial Effectiveness float A 0-100 measure of how effective the judicial system is
Government Integrity float A 0-100 measure of how trustworthy and clean a government is
Tax Burden float A 0-100 measure of how light the taxes are, 100 meaning virtually no taxation
Gov't Spending float A 0-100 measure of how high government spending is, 100 meaning very low spending
Fiscal Health float A 0-100 measure of the size of the deficit, 100 meaning very low or surplus
Business Freedom float A 0-100 measure of how free businesses are in the economy
Labor Freedom float A 0-100 measure of the openness of the labor market
Monetary Freedom float A 0-100 measure of price stability and freedom of the price system
Tariff Freedom float A 0-100 measure of how free international trade is
Investment Freedom float A 0-100 measure of how free the investment market is
Financial Freedom float A 0-100 measure of how open the financial market and banking system is
Tariff Rate (%) float The average rate of tariffs on goods
Income Tax Rate (%) float The average tax on income
Corporate Tax Rate float The average rate of corporate taxation
Tax Burden % of GDP float What percentage of the GDP is equivalent to the tax burden
Gov't Expenditure % of GDP float How much of the GDP the government spends
Country string The name of the country
Population (Millions) float The population of the country in millions
GDP (Billions, PPP) float The purchasing power parity GDP of a country, in dollars
GDP Growth Rate (%) float How much has the GDP grown in the past year?
5 Year GDP Growth Rate (%) float How much has the GDP grown in the past five years?
GDP per Capita (PPP) float The average income of each person
Unemployment (%) float The percentage of the population without a job
Inflation (%) float The rate at which prices increase
FDI Inflow (Millions) float The amount of foreign direct investment, in dollars
Public Debt (% of GDP float How much of the GDP the public debt is worth

How will the data be used to solve the problem?¶

We will run a regression of economic freedom on economic growth, in order to determine if there is a strong linear relationship between economic freedom and economic growth. We will try and observe if countries with more economic freedom have higher rates of growth or GDP per capita, and vice versa.

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